December 15, 2020 at 16:00-17:00 Vienna time (CET)
Olivier Basdevant, Senior Economist, Fiscal Affairs Department, IMF
Annette Kyobe, IMF Resident Representative in Moscow
Sabit Khakimzhanov, Department Director, Center of Research and Analysis, Office of Almaty Representative National Bank of Kazakhstan
Tatiana Evdokimova, Joint Vienna Institute
Resource-rich countries have suffered a double blow in 2020, as the hardship of the pandemic was exacerbated by the commodity price collapse. A rapid decline in resource revenues limited the space for much needed fiscal support. The terms of trade shock and resulting exchange rate pressures increased financial stability and inflationary risks. The lessons learnt during the previous commodity price slumps have helped governments design and implement responses to mitigate the consequences of the current shock. Beyond the immediate and exceptional policy responses to the pandemic, another challenge in the offing will be policy “normalization” in the post-pandemic context. Will existing long-term fiscal anchors and fiscal rules still be valid should the pandemic be followed by a prolonged period of low oil prices? To what extent should governments resort to previously accumulated resources to mitigate the shortfall of revenues? Should commodity exporters be concerned about the long-term implications of the transition towards greener growth?
The webinar will address these issues. The panelists will discuss challenges, good practices as well as short-term and long-term policy implications of the ongoing crisis.
The webinar will be held in English with simultaneous interpretation into Russian.
To participate in the Webinar please sign up here.
Hervé Joly, Director (JVI)